Environmental Systems & Societies SL's Sample Internal Assessment

Environmental Systems & Societies SL's Sample Internal Assessment

To what extent did the reintroduction of wolves in the Yellowstone National Park in 1995 affect the number of visitors to the park in 2005?

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Background information

Yellowstone National Park in the United States of America got a special delivery in late March 1995. Fourteen grey-wolves were released into the park two months after being brought in from the Canadian Rockies Idaho’s neighbor 15 wolves. Grey wolves were meant to be reintroduced and conserved in their natural living condition. The people who helped conserve the wolves did not anticipate that the top predators, with their blood-stained fangs and claws, might bring back the trees’ foliage. Indeed, the case is that the promotion of the top predator had a profound effect on the whole ecosystem of Yellowstone. The tale demonstrates how the mere presence or absenteeism of the top animal predator may fundamentally alter the ecosystem’s structure.

 

It has been decades since the wolves have been introduced, and the wolves have halved the population of elk, the primary prey for wolves. The elks that survived remained on the outskirts of the wolves’ core area. Woody trees such as aspen and willow, which the diligent elks had eaten and pruned, suddenly grew tall and luxuriant. Rivals of the wolves, such as coyotes, also bore the brunt of their fury. “Coyotes are terrified of wolves,” Ripple observes, having seen wolves’ aggressiveness against coyotes in Yellowstone. “Wolves will pursue coyotes, kill them, and sometimes eat them. Wolves despise coyotes.” After the wolf reintroduction, Coyote populations decreased by almost 40% in Yellowstone’s Lamar River Valley.

 

When mesopredators are unleashed in the absence of top predators, they may assert dominance. If this occurs, species lower on the food chain will have to deal with an unrestrained mesopredator. Coyote populations increased in the decades after eradicating grey wolves in the United States, but wild rabbit and hare populations declined. Snowshoe hares, white-tailed jackrabbits, black-tailed jackrabbits, and pygmy rabbits have all been placed to species-of-concern lists from coast to coast. Several were wiped off on a local level. Coyotes are suspected of being responsible for the rabbit and hare’s death. When a mesopredator is unleashed that is an invasive species, the effects may be severe.

Variables

Independent VariableDependent Variable
The introduction of wolves in a national parkThe number of visitors in the park

Figure 1 - Table On Variables

Control VariableThe need to controlThe method of control
The Park for investigationDifferent parks have different ecological evolutions and the introduction of different species would have different effects on the park which might not be positiveThe area was narrowed down to Yellowstone Park and hence the investigation was only based around that park
The kind of wolves introducedDifferent predators and different species have different effects on the ecology which can be further seen in the discussionThe method of control is the wolves are the introductory species as a top predator and hence that makes sure of the control variable
The time when the wolves were introducedThe length of the time for the introduction of species affects the current ecology of the park and hence the length of time needs to be specified for investigating the effects of the independent variable.In the Yellowstone national park, the introduction of wolves happened in the year 1995 and hence it has been 25 years since the introduction of species which is significant enough for ecological changes to take place.

Figure 2 - Table On Control Variable

Hypothesis

Null hypotheses:

The re-introduction of wolves in the Yellowstone National Park in the year 1995 has no effect on the number of visitors till the year of 2005.

 

Alternate hypotheses:

The re-introduction of wolves in the Yellowstone National Park in the year 1995 has an effect on the number of visitors till the year of 2005.

Table of content

Data collection

There is no viable method to find primary data for the above research question as the official statistics are only available to the Yellowstone Park Foundation. Hence, it is challenging to find secondary data. Therefore, I started looking for secondary data to analyze the above research question. Initially, I found many news articles and publications talking about the history and effects of the introduction of wolves in the park. Finally, I came across a study that the Yellowstone Park Foundation financially sponsored. The study was conducted by the students of the University of Montana, and the Yellowstone staff helped the students extensively collect data regarding the visitors and wildlife.

Risk assessment and ethical considerations

Since my IA is based on secondary data, I didn’t come in contact with the species, so there was no significant risk involved. But in terms of the risk for the IA results, the data used from secondary sources might not be reliable and inaccurate as the researcher’s intent cannot be fully evaluated.

 

While conducting this exploration, I wanted to be fully aware of any credits given for the information borrowed from various sources. Hence, while using any secondary data, it was mentioned using the MLA-8 referencing style.

Context

A thunderous “Slap!” travels through the atmosphere over a distant creek flowing to Yellowstone Lake on a peaceful spring morning. For most of the last century, it was an uncommon sound in this national park’s soundscape, but it is becoming a lot frequent today — the grunts of a bear moving the tail by warning one of its own. As per the information from an eminent wildlife scientist Doug Smith, before the wolf was introduced in the park, the park had just one beaver colony. So many years after the reintroduction of wolves, there are as many as nine colonies of beavers. There is a possibility of more to come, as scientists continue to be amazed by the rippling effect of wolves’ reintroduction on the ecology.

 

What occurred in the park is that the presence of a top predator sparked a cascading effect among animals and plants that is still unfolding and will need decades of study to comprehend fully. “It’s like throwing a stone down a mountain slope when the circumstances were ideal for a falling pebble to cause an avalanche of change.”

 

So how did the beaver fare in this avalanche of change?

 

Answering this question will require a trip back to the 1930s when Wolves almost wiped off Yellowstone’s wolf population. While predators like black and grizzly bears, cougars, and, to a lesser extent, coyotes continued to prey on Yellowstone elk, the absence of wolves reduced the amount of predatory pressure on the elk by a substantial amount, according to Smith. The result was that elk populations grew, maybe even to an excessive degree. It happened for two reasons: first, the elk outnumbered Yellowstone’s carrying capacity, and second, they remained in the park throughout the winter, grazing heavily on young willow, aspen, and cottonwood trees.

 

That was challenging for beaver, who depend on willows for winter survival and must forage for food.

 

But why should we even care for these species’ change? Well, it seems that the number of visitors has possibly increased because they get to see exotic wildlife reintroduced, which helps in the economics of managing wildlife. Visitors and animal lovers are essential for maintaining the lifestyle of the parks and the health of the animals. More visitors means more money allocated towards the maintenance of the animals. More importantly, I got so interested in the case of Yellowstone and wolves because I am a core animal lover, which is why I would also want to carry forward a similar study in my country. While reading the case of Yellowstone, I was fascinated by how a single move can change the fate of a park filled with beautiful animals!

Methodology

Figure 6 - Bar Graph Showing The Number Of Visitors (In %age) Engaged In Various Activities In The Yellowstone National Park In Different Time Of The Year

Participants in the survey were questioned to identify their main activity at the park and their decision to visit the park even if they did not have the chance to engage in the activity. In the spring and winter, animal watching was the most often selected main activity (Figure-6). In the summer and autumn, seeing scenery was the most frequently chosen primary activity, with between one-third and one-half of visitors selecting it as their major activity. The second most population activity was watching geysers, with 14-18% of tourists indicating that this was their main activity throughout the spring, summer, and autumn. Snowmobiling, snow coach trips, and cross-country skiing were, as one would anticipate, more popular in the winter than in other seasons, with about 6-11% of winter tourists selecting each of these sports as their major activity.

 

This again indicates that the most engaging activity in the park is wildlife viewing which definitely allows us to claim that re-introduction of wolves in the national park will attract more tourists to the park.

Comparing the ranking of wolf among all other species

Figure 7 - Table On Comparing The Rank Of Wolf Among All Other Species

Visitor percentages yellowstone national park activities, different times of the year

Figure 5 - Table On Number Of Visitors (In Percentage) Engaged In Various Activities In The Yellowstone National Park In Different Time Of The Year

Justification

The study chosen as a source of secondary data is reliable as it has huge number of citations and is intended for an academic purpose. Thus, the data can be considered to be free from bias in context of any economical or political interests. Moreover, the study also surveyed around 3000 visitors to Yellowstone Park.

Data collection and processing

Comparing visitor percentages wildlife photography, birdwatching, wildlife viewing

All the data is borrowed from the main secondary resources — funded by the Yellowstone National Park. The data is borrowed from the three historically funded studies by the Yellowstone national park in 1991, 1999, and 2005 with the results explained below.

Figure 3 - Table On Raw Data For Wildlife Viewing, Birdwatching And Wildlife Photography As Per The Studies By Yellowstone National Park In 1991, 1999 And 2005

Figure 4 - Percentage Of Visitors In Wildlife Photography, Birdwatching And Wildlife Viewing Across Various Time

Yellowstone visitors participate in a range of activities all over the year. One item on the survey report from the visitors included a list of potential activities and asked visitors and identify the ones they engaged in during their stay. Figure-4 depicts the proportion of park visitors involved in the three main birdwatching and wildlife photography. More than 85% of visitors saw animals throughout all seasons, displaying a rate of participation of over 90% in the terms of summer, spring and autumn. Birdwatching participation was about 20%, somewhat higher in the autumn and slightly lesser in the winter. Around 45-50% of tourists engaged in wildlife photography while in the park throughout the year, with the greatest proportion in the spring.

 

The above results indicate that wildlife viewing is the most engaging activity in the park for all the visitors.

The participant visitors in survey informed in concern to their desire for viewing various animals throughout their travels. In particular, respondents were asked to choose three animal species from a list of sixteen on a priority basis, they want to view while at the park. It’s worth noting that the “charismatic megafauna,” which includes big predators and ungulates, consistently ranks near the top of the rankings. Large carnivores account for four of the top five species constantly. Consistency in ranking over the years is exceptional (apart from wolves). Between resident and non-resident tourists, a similar consistency is found. Figure 7 compares visitor preferences for viewing various species across three independent surveys performed in 1991, 1999, and 2005. The data in figure 7 pertains to the summer season 2005 results, in chronological sequence, should be like the projected summer visitor sample findings from 1991 and 1999.

Wolf ranking: top 3 species by percentage

In a 1991 survey, 15% of park visitors identified wolves as the animal they most wanted to see, despite wolves not being present in the area at the time. This percentage places them eighth. Eight years later, and after the 1994 introduction of wolves, a 1999 survey found that the percentage of tourists who want to see wolves had risen to 36%, making the species second only to grizzly bears. According to a 2005 survey, 44% of tourists said they would most want to see wolves during their visit to Yellowstone, and wolves rank second only to grizzlies as the desired animal to observe. The wolf’s shift in status is graphically shown in the figure below.

Figure 8 - Wolf ranking: top 3 species, 1991-2005

Visitors were asked to react to a series of Likert-scaled wildlife-related items in the 2005 visitor survey. Visitors were given the option of agreeing, disagreeing, agreeing but not disagreeing, or stating that they were unsure of their opinion in answer to each of these statements. By and large, the answers to these statements (as shown in figure 8) suggest a high level of care about ecological problems in general, and specifically regarding Yellowstone National Park animals.

Statistical analysis

Figure 9 - Scatter Plot Showing The Regression Coefficient Of Time In Years And The Percentage Ranking Of Wolf Among The Top 3 Species

As displayed in the graph above, the coefficient of regression between the percentage ranking of wolf and year (R2) is 0.9724 and that shows that there is 97.24% correlation between the percentage ranking of wolf and the year. Thus, the null hypotheses can be rejected and the alternate hypotheses can be accepted.