Theory of Knowledge
Theory of Knowledge
13
Chapters
165
Notes
Chapter 1 - Knowledge & The Knower(Core)
Chapter 1 - Knowledge & The Knower(Core)
Chapter 2 - Knowledge & Technology(Optional)
Chapter 2 - Knowledge & Technology(Optional)
Chapter 3 - Knowledge & Language(Optional)
Chapter 3 - Knowledge & Language(Optional)
Chapter 4 - Knowledge & Politics(Optional)
Chapter 4 - Knowledge & Politics(Optional)
Chapter 5 - Knowledge & Religion(Optional)
Chapter 5 - Knowledge & Religion(Optional)
Chapter 6 - Knowledge & Indigenous Societies(Optional)
Chapter 6 - Knowledge & Indigenous Societies(Optional)
Chapter 7 - History(AoK)
Chapter 7 - History(AoK)
Chapter 8 - The Human Sciences(AoK)
Chapter 8 - The Human Sciences(AoK)
Chapter 9 - The Natural Sciences(AoK)
Chapter 9 - The Natural Sciences(AoK)
Chapter 10 - The Arts(AoK)
Chapter 10 - The Arts(AoK)
Chapter 11 - Mathematics(AoK)
Chapter 11 - Mathematics(AoK)
Chapter 12 - ToK Exhibition
Chapter 12 - ToK Exhibition
Chapter 13 - ToK Essay
Chapter 13 - ToK Essay
IB Resources
Chapter 11 - Mathematics(AoK)
Theory of Knowledge
Theory of Knowledge

Chapter 11 - Mathematics(AoK)

Unraveling The Mystery: Lies, Statistics, And Simpson's Paradox

Word Count Emoji
647 words
Reading Time Emoji
4 mins read
Updated at Emoji
Last edited on 14th Jun 2024

Table of content

Hey there, future Theory of Knowledge (TOK) star! Are you ready for an adventure? Pack your mental luggage because we're embarking on a journey through the world of... wait for it... statistics! Yikes? Nope, it's going to be exciting, I promise!

The three kinds of lies

Did you know that Mark Twain (well, not really him, but who cares) once said, "There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics?" Sounds scary, huh? But don't worry, we'll dissect this concept to make it fun and understandable.

 

Real World Example: Imagine you're trying to find out who's the best basketball player in your school. You collect some data and conclude that it's John because he scores the most points per game. But then, someone points out that Sarah has a higher shooting percentage. Who's better now? It depends on the statistic you consider, right? That's why we say that statistics, if not used carefully, can be misleading.

The murky waters of data dredging

Data dredging is like fishing for trends in a sea of numbers, but without a specific fish in mind. You're just hoping to catch something interesting. The problem is, you might end up catching something purely by chance, rather than because it's truly significant.

 

Real World Example: Let's say you're scrolling through Spotify, trying to find a correlation between songs you like. You have thousands of songs, and you find that you like songs that are exactly 3 minutes and 14 seconds long (π minute, get it?). It's likely a random correlation, a result of data dredging, not a profound musical discovery.

 

To avoid this, any trend you find through data dredging needs to be tested against a different dataset to see if it holds up!

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IB Resources
Chapter 11 - Mathematics(AoK)
Theory of Knowledge
Theory of Knowledge

Chapter 11 - Mathematics(AoK)

Unraveling The Mystery: Lies, Statistics, And Simpson's Paradox

Word Count Emoji
647 words
Reading Time Emoji
4 mins read
Updated at Emoji
Last edited on 14th Jun 2024

Table of content

Hey there, future Theory of Knowledge (TOK) star! Are you ready for an adventure? Pack your mental luggage because we're embarking on a journey through the world of... wait for it... statistics! Yikes? Nope, it's going to be exciting, I promise!

The three kinds of lies

Did you know that Mark Twain (well, not really him, but who cares) once said, "There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics?" Sounds scary, huh? But don't worry, we'll dissect this concept to make it fun and understandable.

 

Real World Example: Imagine you're trying to find out who's the best basketball player in your school. You collect some data and conclude that it's John because he scores the most points per game. But then, someone points out that Sarah has a higher shooting percentage. Who's better now? It depends on the statistic you consider, right? That's why we say that statistics, if not used carefully, can be misleading.

The murky waters of data dredging

Data dredging is like fishing for trends in a sea of numbers, but without a specific fish in mind. You're just hoping to catch something interesting. The problem is, you might end up catching something purely by chance, rather than because it's truly significant.

 

Real World Example: Let's say you're scrolling through Spotify, trying to find a correlation between songs you like. You have thousands of songs, and you find that you like songs that are exactly 3 minutes and 14 seconds long (π minute, get it?). It's likely a random correlation, a result of data dredging, not a profound musical discovery.

 

To avoid this, any trend you find through data dredging needs to be tested against a different dataset to see if it holds up!

Unlock the Full Content! File Is Locked Emoji

Dive deeper and gain exclusive access to premium files of Theory of Knowledge. Subscribe now and get closer to that 45 🌟